Media release – Enterprise Marketing & Research Services, 29 May 2024
Decline in Support for New Labor Leader Dean Winter
The latest EMRS poll reveals that Labor’s newly-appointed opposition leader, Dean Winter, has recorded a notable decline in support as preferred premier compared to his predecessor, Rebecca White.
Dean Winter, who took over leadership from Rebecca White after the March election, was nominated by 32 per cent of voters as their preferred premier in this latest poll. This level of support reflects a 6 point decline from Rebecca White’s support in EMRS’ February poll and places him 8 points behind the Liberal leader Jeremy Rockliff, who has held steady at 40 per cent as the preferred premier.
The decline in support from Rebecca White in February 2024 to Dean Winter in this latest poll, aligns with a 6 point rise in the proportion of voters unable to decide between the major party leaders, which stands at 26 per cent in this latest poll.
Paul Jamrozik (EMRS’ Managing Director) said, “Dean Winter has not been long in the role as opposition leader; however, these results on preferred premier indicate voters are yet to be convinced. At the same time, Jeremy Rockliff needs to reinforce to voters why he is the preferred premier during his honeymoon period.”
After excluding undecided voters, support for the Government currently stands at 35 per cent, down 2 points from the 2024 election. Support for Labor now stands at 28 per cent, representing a 1 point decline since the election.
The Greens maintained their level of support at 15 per cent, representing a 1 point increase since the election.
Decided voter support for the Jacqui Lambie Network (JLN) sits at a consistent 7 per cent; the same as the election.
Support for an independent candidate saw an increase of 4 point since the election, now standing at 12 per cent.
Health and the cost of living continue to be major concerns overall, with health a particular issue among Labor voters.
The latest EMRS poll of 1,000 Tasmanian voters was conducted from the 16th to the 23rd May 2024.
Ted Mead
May 29, 2024 at 14:51
One wonders how dysfunctional politics in Tasmania will have to steep before the average voting punter gives up on supporting a mainstream political party.
Even if the economy, and quality of life, reaches some point towards nadir, most probably, the rusted on Liberal support base will remain committed.
Anyone with any form of political discernment could have predicted that Dean Winter was going to be the next Labor lemon. Surely most ALP supporters must now see that the likelihood of Labor holding future governance in their own right is beyond reach.
These recent poll results have all the hallmarks to indicate that this boring stalemate will continue into the future. What a dreary era to be a politician.
Roderick
May 30, 2024 at 00:32
Ted, has it ever been any different in Tasmania?
So very many Tasmanians seem to be indifferent and unaware of what is really happening in this state of mind. Issues do not matter to many folk, and so very many of them remain stuck in the voting allegiances of their parents and grandparents with seemingly no interest or cognisance of the pertinent issues we Tasmanians are facing.
I speak and listen to many people, and the ignorance and often callousness of people is astounding. They do not care about their communities and the broad picture. It does not bode well for the future of citizens, although the developers and poisonous corporations are enjoying their profits from a dumb Tasmania.
James the ninth
May 30, 2024 at 12:05
Meanwhile, ambulances queue at understaffed hospitals, people sleep in tents and the subsidised destruction of our natural world continues, and whatever you do, don’t mention the rise of covid cases – whose statistics are now hidden.
It is easy to be cynical when the major parties look so alike – both of them hell bent on building a stadium where no-one but Gil wants it, where both are determined to push spin that even the most rusted on punter must doubt. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs – really?
It’s pretty hard to get a job if you don’t have a mailbox, a shower or some recovery from a much needed operation! Staying alive has become a challenge for many in this state!