Legislative Council 2015: Windermere, Mersey and Derwent Live And Post-Count 4

Derwent: Polls Open Until 6pm. Mersey: Polls Open Until 6pm. Windermere: Polls Open Until 6pm

Opening Post (midday): Welcome to my live comments on tonight’s three Legislative Council contests. Three of the fifteen seats in Tasmania’s upper house will be decided tonight. You can see my previews and form guides here:

Windermere
Derwent and Mersey
My in-depth statistical analysis of how Legislative Councillors vote can be seen here

There will be live comments throughout the counts. Polls are open until 6 pm, first figures may start appearing around 6:30 and based on past experience counting for the night could be done by about 9 pm. Windermere will very likely go to preferences and I will follow that count over coming days until it is settled. When I believe a candidate will definitely win the word CALLED will appear for that seat in the summary at the top of the page.

Craig Farrell (Derwent) and Mike Gaffney (Mersey) are facing only low-profile opposition and I very strongly expect them to both win easily, perhaps very easily.

Ivan Dean’s bid for a third term in Windermere is less straightforward – bidding to become the oldest LegCo winner since 1965, he’s been heavily targeted by Labor’s Jennifer Houston, while high-profile ex-Labor independent Scott McLean has kept out of controversy. The Greens’ Vanessa* Bleyer is also running …

Derwent: CALLED: Craig Farrell (ALP) re-elected
Mersey: CALLED: Mike Gaffney (IND) re-elected
Windermere: CALLED: Ivan Dean (IND) will be re-elected on preferences

Read more, Dr Kevin Bonham’s website, here

Ed: The sub-editor (he’s been sacked) should have picked up that error (original text had Jennifer … )

Kim Booth: Congratulations to Vanessa Bleyer as WINDERMERE member to be decided on Greens preference flows