Tasmanian Times

The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. No price is too high for the privilege of owning yourself. ~ Friedrich Nietzsche

The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. No price is too high for the privilege of owning yourself. ~ Friedrich Nietzsche

Economy

Arctic Heat Wave – An Ominous Sign!

*Pic: Orcas in melting Arctic Sea Ice

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Abnormally high temperature in the Arctic circle.

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The diminishing Artic ice sheet over the past 32 years – Image – NASA.

The Arctic has just been subjected to a huge winter heat wave, so what does this mean? How many more seasonal changes and extremes in the earth’s weather patterns will it take before we adopt a unanimous belief that climate change is not only occurring but that there is an urgent need to redress this global life-threatening issue?

The North Pole winter temperature has just skyrocketed above freezing, which is well out of kilter to the normal sub zero to minus 30 range.

The sea ice temperature between January and February reached record lows while winter temperatures have risen to around 0 Centigrade for the past four years.

In northern Greenland the February temperature was above zero for over 60 hours. That’s more than 3 times the number of hours in the past years.

This is yet another warning sign that Climate Change is happening as it is driving more intense, more frequent heat waves across the coolest parts of the planet.

Further reading –

https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/12/12/16767152/arctic-sea-ice-extent-chart

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/20/melting-arctic-ice-cap-falls-to-well-below-average

Study reveals how Arctic Ocean drives ice melt

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The depth and declining expanse of the Artic Ice sheet poses a major threat to Polar Bear migration. Pic – Adrienne Tivy.

*Ted Mead is in constant disbelief that so many in the world haven’t yet accepted that climate change is happening. For the deniers, the view that climate change means that the planet is supposed to be warming does not makes sense if there are cold extremes occurring elsewhere, and therefore can’t accept the science explaining the shifts in weather patterns.

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26 Comments

26 Comments

  1. Russell

    April 10, 2018 at 1:00 pm

    Has anyone done any research as to whether the earth’s axis has shifted?

  2. Jon Sumby

    April 7, 2018 at 7:14 pm

    Re #24, Ted. … Antarctic sea ice reached a record low in 2016 and this has been repeated this summer with NIWA reporting that sea ice was at a low, as covered by NZ news on March 21st this year:

    But they were shocked at the scarcity of sea ice, with the coverage on the oceans around Antarctica this summer the second lowest since satellite records began back in the 1970s.

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/102465682/vanishing-sea-ice-could-alter-antarctic-marine-ecosystems

    While Australia’s Science Channel reported on March 26th, 2018 …

    ‘In recent years the extent of Antarctic sea ice spreading has reversed from expanding to contracting, while the decline of Arctic sea ice has continued unabated. Sea ice in the Arctic and the Antarctic set record low extents every day in December 2016 continuing a pattern that began in the preceding months.’

    https://australiascience.tv/science-update-sea-ice-land-ice-and-rising-sea-levels/

    It is cyclical, and what is important is the trend, and that trend has been a global decline in sea ice cover:

    ‘As a whole, the planet had been losing sea ice at an average annual rate of 35,000 square kilometres since 1979 and this rate had been accelerating.’

    Deniers squawk when a record high is reached, but go quiet when record lows are seen. The don’t understand trends and really should stay in the pub playing the pokies where they can celebrate a win as showing they are winners who are ahead of the game, while ignoring the trend that shows they are big time losers over time.

    In a few years there will no longer be record highs, only record lows.

  3. Ted Mead

    April 7, 2018 at 2:27 pm

    #23 … Yes John, I had been following what’s happening in Antarctica.

    The recent satellite image recordings have indicated a slight expansion of the sea ice down there. This I believe is due to many factors, but mostly through an increase of glacier break-off.

    I didn’t want to include this in the article because the climate change deniers, who don’t understand what’s going on, would read something into it as a rebuttal.

  4. Jon Sumby

    April 6, 2018 at 8:41 pm

    Antarctic Glaciers Lost Stunning Amount of Ground in Recent Years.

    Linked to a warming ocean, ice retreat was more rapid than even at the end of the last Ice Age

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/antarctic-glaciers-lost-stunning-amount-of-ground-in-recent-years/

  5. Jon Sumby

    April 3, 2018 at 9:17 pm

    The USA now has climate refugees …

    – In March, Louisiana state officials announced that everyone living on Isle de Jean Charles will have to leave.

    – Where there were 22,000 acres in 1955 there are only 320 acres today.

    – They are one hurricane away from obliteration.

    – The evacuation is a test-run for countless coastal communities in Louisiana, who must all move as the seas take over the land.

    http://www.businessinsider.fr/us/isle-de-jean-charles-climate-change-refugees-2018-4

  6. Keith Antonysen

    April 3, 2018 at 12:34 pm

    A combination of ideology and large donations to political parties can stunt good policy. It has been reported that 20+ backbench LNP members are spruiking coal and the building of a new coal fired energy plant.
    The backbenchers believe that coal has been demonised.

    But, LNP views on coal do not compute with climate change:

    The Innuit, whose life style of hunting and fishing and townships are being hit through climate change.
    Or, Puerto Ricans still suffering from the impact of hurricanes.
    Or, Californians impacted by sea level rise, drought, aquifers at low levels, and huge out of season wildfires.
    Or, in late 2017 Alaska where temperatures in some areas were so high that electronic instruments were not able to compute beyond the algorithms that they had been set up with.
    Or, as atmospheric temperatures increase more water vapour is carried, the result being huge floods experienced around Earth.
    Or, Coral Reefs generally around Earth have been hit by coral bleaching.
    Or, grounding lines of ice sheets are moving towards shore.
    Or, permafrost thawing creating methane and CO2, also infrastructure is being damaged by the breakdown of permafrost.
    Or, food and water scarcity in some parts of Earth.
    Or, epidemiological studies display the influence of burning fossil fuels on health.
    Or, the American Petroleum Industry knew of the impact of the products they create ( Elmer Robinson and R.C. Robbins 1968).
    ExxonMobil scientists had warned their management in the 1970s of the effect of fossil fuels.

    These factors have been observed and are empirical facts.

    We expect politicians to make decisions using objective facts; but, this is not happening within the LNP.

  7. Kim Peart

    April 3, 2018 at 2:19 am

    Re #7, Jon Sumby … As I have oft suggested, we are staring down the barrels of a future where we will have to live on Earth as if we were living in space.

    Can we survive space type living on Earth alone?

    On Earth alone I see collapse and death, even of the Earth.

    In space I see the potential for life, where we could use the power of the Sun to heal the Earth.

    Do we want to be planet killers?

    Would we like to heal the Earth?

    When the starkness of that choice becomes obvious, I hope we will stlll have time to act on the healing path.

    The power of the Sun in space is the key to our survival.

  8. Jon Sumby

    April 2, 2018 at 4:28 pm

    ‘Hidden underwater melt-off in the Antarctic is doubling every 20 years and could soon overtake Greenland to become the biggest source of sea-level rise, according to the first complete underwater map of the world’s largest body of ice.

    ‘The research by the .. at the University of Leeds suggests climate change is affecting the Antarctic more than previously believed, and is likely to prompt global projections of sea-level increase to be revised upward.’

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/apr/02/underwater-melting-of-antarctic-ice-far-greater-than-thought-study-finds

  9. Ted Mead

    April 2, 2018 at 3:26 pm

    # 17 … I have no idea how much pure rainforest has been destroyed in the VDL lands, though there would have been some looking at the locations of native forest conversions.

    Without prior knowledge of the original forest representation, and based on the pathetic and deceptive 5% eucalyptus crown cover definition, then huge areas of predominantly rainforest could have been felled, windowed and burnt!

    We all know that has been the state-wide deceptive practice for decades, and you can’t deny it!

  10. MjF

    April 2, 2018 at 1:51 pm

    Correction to #6’s post. If you want a really genuine and recurring lie, ask Mr T what volume of special species timber has been burnt in VDL over the last 40 years.

  11. Keith Antonysen

    April 2, 2018 at 1:30 pm

    #11, Trevor … We need greenhouse gases to survive though, in the right proportion. The moon has no atmosphere. It is about equidistant from the sun yet is a totally hostile environment for life. The range of temperature between hot and cold on the moon is from 100C to minus 173C.

    The research of Dr Burger and others is highly suggestive of how magma coming into contact with coal has produced greenhouse gases and acidic oceans that caused mass extinction at the end of the Permian epoch. Dr Burger stated that his work amplifies research completed by Payne and Clapham. The chemical and mineral trail left behind from the end Permian epoch does not support a one-off cataclysmic eruption of the Siberian traps.

    Experimentation displays from the 1850s onwards displays how CO2 reacts to radiated warmth (Eunice Foote, 1850s).

    Ultimately, if humans wish to survive and save as much biodiversity as possible, the voiding of greenhouse gases needs to be radically reduced. It means no more coal mines; transition out coal fired power stations; plant rather than clear fell trees, go back to selective logging. Individuals can do their bit, but it is action by governments that will have by far the greatest impact.

    Greenhouse gas emissions are checked on a regular basis at Cape Grim and Mauna Loa, Hawaii, but they are still going up.

    A very simple question: do we want our children, grandchildren, or great grandchildren to survive? As the century progresses the likelihood of a dystopian world increases through the climate changing.

    The antidote is to radically reduce greenhouse gases.

  12. TGC

    April 2, 2018 at 12:09 pm

    #12 … There is no “problem” in my (our) space. A real-life economy sees to that.

  13. Wining Pom

    April 2, 2018 at 4:27 am

    Well TGC, Ted is doing something about it. He’s trying to help people like you realise the very serious problem that is looming. But it’s a tough job.

    But, you have to admit that it’s getting through, slowly. There’s no more ‘the world has stopped warming’ and ‘clean coal’. Well, apart from politicians who get paid lots.

  14. Kim Peart

    April 2, 2018 at 3:49 am

    Can we draw a lesson from the butterfly?

    Are we cringing in the chrysalis, refusing to break our and spread our wings on the frontier of evolution?

    When we pushed a leg out and touched the Moon in 1969, we survived.

    But then we pulled our leg back in and have cringed in the Earth womb since 1972, when the last boot left the Moon.

    How can we hope to survive by confining ourselves in the chrysalis, with the crumpled wings of our full potential never tested, never used?

    We can chatter our heads away in the chrysalis, that we must be perfect on Earth before we attempt to expand among the stars, but how can we know what we will achieve when we spread our wings in space?

    If there was less chatter and more evolution on the frontier of life in the Universe, might we find the way to live?

    Trapped in the chrysalis with our endless chatter, will we be silenced by stillbirth in the womb of Earth?

    I dare to look at life beyond the Earthly womb, and I see ways that are different in space, where we can heal the Earth with the power of the Sun.

    If we allow ourselves to die in the womb, refusing to be born, we risk taking Mother Nature into extinction with his.

    Mother and child, trapped in a chrysalis become a fossil tomb.

    While there is life in us, there is still hope for evolution, hope for our survival, and hope to save the Earth.

    But there is no hope for life while the child is trapped in the womb.

    We need radical surgery, to save mother and child.

  15. Ted Mead

    April 2, 2018 at 1:44 am

    # Trev … One individual can’t change massive global life threatening issues. All I can hope is that each individual wakes up to the looming crises that face us all.

    You can be part of the solution or part of the problem, which one are you?

  16. TGC

    April 2, 2018 at 12:29 am

    And what is ‘Ted’ going to do about it?

  17. philll Parsons

    April 1, 2018 at 10:24 pm

    The Pins Island Thwaites Glacier complex has a ridge near the tongue. Once the glacier retreats past the ridge, holding the ice back and excluding warmer water melting will be more rapid.

  18. Ted Mead

    April 1, 2018 at 8:22 pm

    #4 … Yes Jon, I admit the image of mine is from Antarctica. I just wanted to put something up showing sea ice – probably an oversight by me with regards to its direct relativity to this article.

    Put it down to another Ted Mead fake image, as they constantly call them.

  19. Jon Sumby

    April 1, 2018 at 7:01 pm

    And this, from 2010:

    ‘Scientists may have found the most devastating impact yet of human-caused global warming .. a 40% decline in phytoplankton since 1950 linked to the rise in ocean sea surface temperatures. If confirmed, it may represent the single most important finding of the year in climate science.’

    https://thinkprogress.org/nature-stunner-global-warming-blamed-for-40-decline-in-the-oceans-phytoplankton-c4d64a16e550/

  20. Jon Sumby

    April 1, 2018 at 6:59 pm

    This issue has been studied for several years now, but it is not going away and IT’S not often mentioned in general discussion on climate change:

    ‘Any significant decrease in the net oxygen production by phytoplankton is therefore likely to result in the depletion of atmospheric oxygen, and in a global mass mortality of animals and humans.’

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28456463

    De-oxygenation of the oceans is one symptom of this and it is accelerating which will strongly affect ocean life and ecosystems:

    ‘THE OCEAN IS slowly losing its life-sustaining oxygen, according to a new study that analyzes years of existing research on de-oxygenation and puts the problem in stark terms. The big question now, is whether the trend can be reversed in time to avoid dramatic reductions in biodiversity that could ripple through the marine food web, thereby affecting humans as well as ocean ecosystems.

    https://www.newsdeeply.com/oceans/articles/2018/01/09/scientists-times-running-out-to-avert-dangerous-ocean-oxygen-loss

  21. john hayward

    April 1, 2018 at 6:32 pm

    The pole reversal was a careless mistake by Ted. If you want a genuine lie, contact the Coalition spokesmen on the issue.

    John Hayward

  22. philll Parsons

    April 1, 2018 at 2:01 pm

    What will stop the cryosphere from continuing to shrink vertically and horizontally?

    Nothing, whilst we continue to make the planet warmer by burning fossil fuels.

    Result, sea level will rise, lives will be lost in the storms of our children including those of iconic animals.

    That a whole electorate will exhibit Neroic behaviour borne of greed and ignorance fostered by the greedy risking a dystopian future can only be understood because they have not experienced such a disaster and therefore have no reference.

    Scientists who study the PETM, a period of mass extinction, the only one where masses of insects were involved, have some reference point for their intellect – but no idea of what it looked like.

    At the other end of the spectrum every state has had catastrophic fires, but as the warnings from the climatologists and these events coincide with the changes in the climate, one would think experience would teach.

    Some seem to have an idea that something needs to be done, but doing a little to meet the political demands of re-election, or for Trump’s government doing the opposite, is a form of madness of the type we see in fantasy where to save the gold the greedy bastard sacrifices their life, and the lives of all around, and dies with nothing.

  23. Jon Sumby

    April 1, 2018 at 12:58 pm

    Is that first photograph an April Fool’s?

    There are no penguins in the Northern Hemisphere, and so they cannot be walking over the ‘diminishing sea ice’ of the Arctic.

  24. Russell

    April 1, 2018 at 12:21 pm

    Will it take a tidal wave or a Cyclone to smash the rich bastards’ seafront homes in Sydney to wake the Canberra pricks up?

    Don’t worry, they’re on their way.

  25. Keith Antonysen

    April 1, 2018 at 12:09 pm

    A 1912 a short article in a New Zealand anticipated the damage of what burning coal will do to the atmosphere. (Snopes Fact Check).

    Already in the 1950s fossil fuel companies were aware of the damage their product would do to the atmosphere, further highlighted by a report to the Petroleum Industry in 1968: https://www.smokeandfumes.org/documents/document16

    Quote:

    “In 1968, Stanford Reseach Institute (SRI) scientists Elmer Robinson and R.C. Robbins produced a Final Report to the American Petroleum Institute (API) on SRI’s research in the sources, abundance, and fate of gaseous pollutants in the atmosphere. They reserved their starkest warnings to industry leaders for carbon dioxide.”

    Litigation is now beginning to occur in the US against major fossil fuel companies. The cities of San Francisco and Oakland have begun proceedings against major fossil fuel Corporations. The cities are seeking for fossil fuel companies to pay for damage being created by sea level rise.

    In an unusual process the Judge overseeing the case asked representatives for the cities and corporation to provide tutorials to support their case. The cities used scientists to present science; while oddly, the only Corporation to attend the Court, Chevron, had a barrister to present their case. The barrister used an IPCC Report to support the case of Chevron!

    Not only has there been deterioration in the Arctic during winter, the huge Totten glacier of Eastern Antarctica has also been found to be unstable, and Western Antarctica has already been found to have a number of unstable glaciers through the grounding lines of their ice sheets heading towards the shore.

    As permafrost thaws in the Arctic, CO2 and methane are released creating more atmospheric and ocean warmth, but we do not know when a tipping point is reached over which we have no control.

    Dr Burger has studied the mass extinction at the end of the Permian epoch. In his pre-published manuscript Dr Burger draws parallels to what is happening at present – the culprit being greenhouse gases. To debunk his manuscript it is necessary to show how his chemical analysis is wrong.

    https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Benjamin_Burger/publication/323402270_What_caused_Earth's_largest_mass_extinction_event_New_evidence_from_the_Permian-Triassic_boundary_in_northeastern_Utah/links/5a9488b345851535bcdab921/What-caused-Earths-largest-mass-extinction-event-New-evidence-from-the-Permian-Triassic-boundary-in-northeastern-Utah.pdf

    Opening new coal mines or extending old coal mines is foolhardy in the extreme. The metaphoric canaries are all dead.

  26. Kim Peart

    April 1, 2018 at 10:38 am

    When the arctic is ice-free in the summer, one year sometime soon, will that be enough to wake up the sleepy heads?

    That awakening may also be too late, and after the fact, as the Greenland ice sheet melts away, and it is wondered when parts of the Antarctic ice sheet will begin to break up.

    The cause of global warming is driven by changes decades ago.

    I recently looked at the change in the CO2 level in the air from the last ice age, to recent millennia, and then again to the present.

    The first jump was 90 ppm CO2.

    The second jump saw CO2 sail past another 90 parts per million in the 1990s.

    Does that mean the 1990s level CO2 was enough to turn up the heat to melt all remaining ice on the planet?

    Does that mean the rise in CO2 since the 1990s, a further 48 ppm and rising and now sailing past 408 ppm, and rising who knows where, mean we have now locked in a rise in heat of amazing proportions, an extremely dangerous future climate and a risk to human survival with sea levels rising a further 70 metres?

    Action is needed – but exactly what action, and how rapidly, and how much?

    The CO2 maths are screaming at us now, of a rather deadly future.

    Scientists including James Lovelock and Guy McPherson warn of a rapid heat rise, a heat pulse of extreme danger.

    Food will be harder to grow as heat rises and climates become increasingly unpredictable, as droughts get worse, as flood events increase, as the oceans get hotter and more acidic, as coral reefs continue to bleach in the heat, and as ocean fish stocks collapse.

    And if the oceans begin to die there may be belches of hydrogen sulphide gas from sulphur bugs blooming on the surface, and before that do we risk nuclear madness as nations are driven crazy?

    Can we survive all that?

    Do we need rapid extraction of CO2 from the air?

    Do we need a sunshade to help cool the Earth, as CO2 is extracted?

    Without real answers and radical proposals on the table and seriously debated, we risk blowing hot air, and that is no more than the speech of a condemned highwayman at the gallows.

    Our final words can be colourful, but is surviving the gallows of rising CO2 of interest to anyone?

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