Tasmanian Times

The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. No price is too high for the privilege of owning yourself. ~ Friedrich Nietzsche

The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. No price is too high for the privilege of owning yourself. ~ Friedrich Nietzsche

Economy

‘Jacqui Lambie looming large over 2018 Tasmanian election, as Liberals, Labor neck and neck’

The Hodgman Liberal Government is facing a disaster at next year’s Tasmanian election and Jacqui Lambie is partly to blame, according to political analysts.

The Liberals and Labor are neck and neck for the first time in seven years, with both parties polling at 34 per cent, the latest EMRS poll reveals.

The Greens’ vote is up one point to 17 per cent, while support for the Jacqui Lambie Network (JLN) is up three points to 8 per cent.

Premier Will Hodgman’s support has dropped by two points to 35 per cent, while Labor leader Rebecca White’s popularity as preferred leader has remained steady at 48 per cent.

Polling analyst Kevin Bonham said Ms White’s popularity was bad news for the Hodgman Liberal Government.

Read more here

The definitive Dr Bonham: Dr Kevin Bonham: EMRS Says The Wheels Are Falling Off, HERE If the December EMRS poll is to be believed (see also the helpful trend tracker), the Hodgman Government is currently headed for a Campbell Newman-like reversal of fortune at the 2018 Tasmanian state election. Having won a massive victory from Opposition at the 2014 state election, the current poll suggests Hodgman’s government, much like Newman’s, could be going straight back where it came from and that election night could be carnage with incumbents losing all over the place – to Labor, the Greens, the Lambie Network and their own party. On a like for like basis (which is rather difficult to follow through old EMRS poll reports) this seems to be the Liberals’ lowest primary in an EMRS poll since August 2006 …

Mercury: Poll shows Labor level with Libs TASMANIA is hurtling towards minority government as Labor draws level with Will Hodgman’s Liberals in a key poll for the first time in more than seven years …

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20 Comments

20 Comments

  1. John Hawkins

    December 12, 2017 at 9:33 pm

    #9 #12 #17

    TGC, Trevor Cowell.

    Your love in with Lambie suggests that Tasmania is about to be blessed with you as the Lambie Party candidate.

    Your descriptor…. the team that Lambie has put together has formidable political, economic, environmental and social credentials and would be a very considerable intellectual force in the Tasmanian parliament- in any parliament.

    Are about to see a Lambie led government with TGC holding down a senior ministerial position?

    What fun.

  2. mike seabrook

    December 12, 2017 at 4:19 pm

    all quiet on macq wharf – is the $150 million to relocate the functional sewerage treatment plant from the feds a mirage along with est. $300 million to relocate hobart’s then very compromised working port and with required roadworks.

    the brilliant future for hobart’s development is on the southern side of sullivans cove. No cash from the feds required.

    look out for developments on car-parking restrictions and car -parking costs though, along with consequent effects.

  3. Tony Stone

    December 11, 2017 at 9:57 am

    #17 … “Wing it”, no different to the incumbents who also ignore their claimed policies to support their vested interests.

    How can anyone vote for an empty page? This is what the JLN is offering, and nothing else.

    Then we have the fact that they are only offering 5 candidates in just one voting area. No way they can form a government with that approach unless the agenda is a coalition with one of the major parties. Having no policies is a good ploy so they don’t conflict with their hoped for coalition partners.

    Considering Jacquie is a dedicated god nutter ideologue, it’s what you can expect to happen and you can almost bet it will be the libs she supports.

    In reality, it wouldn’t matter whether she supports lib or lab as it’s all the same and nothing will change.

    What we need is someone to step up and provide the people with something solid to vote for, instead of nothing over and over.

  4. TGC

    December 10, 2017 at 6:23 pm

    #16 … Policies are of no consequence if they are ignored – as is usually the case for the ‘victors’ following an election.

    That JLN don’t have any policies shows their confidence that they can ‘wing-it’ as they go along – much as the majors do now. The big difference is – JLN is upfront – take us as you see us- not as others pretend to be.

    A winner policy straight away.

  5. Tony Stone

    December 10, 2017 at 11:36 am

    #14 … Just had a good look at the JLN site, not one policy from any of them. Just platitudes, no substance or direction.

    Her candidates have either no worldly experience, or experience in just one small narrow area. The only things on the site which are progressive are increasing aged pensions, looking after veterans – and even that’s ambiguous

    Personally, I think the aged pension should be at least the minimum wage, preferably the average wage, as that would bring a big economic kick to rural rural economy.

    Most pensioners travel and spend their money in rural and tourist areas, so giving them more money would boost rural and tourist economies dramatically, creating jobs and long term economic security. As well, more pensioners would travel thereby increasing rural economic performance.

    Veterans deserve the same, and active service veterans should get more because of the long term effects this has on their mental and physical health.

    Politicians should receive the same as pensioners. It should be a privilege to work for one’s country or state, not a money making exercise which it now is.

    Sorry TGC, Jackie is a nice lady, but just another typical ideologue with no real workable plans or directions and no different to the incumbents. This is very sad because it shows where we really stand as a society – stuffed.

  6. Robin Charles Halton

    December 10, 2017 at 10:52 am

    Massive promises by Hodgman and Hiddings for somewhat taking the pressure of the fanciful hi tech quick fix for the traffic entering the CBD!

    Ah ha, now its a physical infrastructural fix costing up to $130M to duplicate the narrow road across the two causeways from Sorell towards the Tasman bridge.

    There is no doubt the route needs modernising by a long shot but I suspect this is more about the Liberals infiltrating the confidence of Lyons voters as they are bloody worried about Labor’s Bec White gaining votes in Lyons,and so they should be!

    To add to the confusion GSB Mayor Mike Kent may run with the JLN in Lyons, good on you Jacqui rip into those bogus bastards in the mainstream mess and show em who is the king maker in the State election showdown sport event that we all look foward to with glee!

  7. TGC

    December 9, 2017 at 9:27 pm

    #13 I thought JL’s attraction is that primarily she believes in Tasmania- no other politician does so she’s ahead immediately.
    And the team she is assembling are all outstanding individuals with the same Tassie passion.
    A JL governmnt would be an absolute winner.

  8. Tony Stone

    December 9, 2017 at 12:00 pm

    TGC … Jacqui, nice lady, but a god nutter, ideologue. That instantly puts her in the category of useless for a decent political future, unless she is different to all others.

    Like all ideologues, their beliefs dictate their approach to life and we have the results of the approach to life god nutters have provided throughout history.

    Hanson brags about how she has the right ideas, but her performance is no different to every other god nutter in power, hypocritical and useless.

    Nick Xenophon, the same big claims, useless results. We have our own in Tas in Andrew Wilkie, big claims made about how great it was for him to support the governments that make disgusting decisions.

    Wilkie got a heap of money for the RHH and look what we have ended up with, a complete waste of money and a worse outcome.

    If you class the current incumbents worldwide as being good politicians, the vast majority being got nutters, I pity you.

    Believers in the non-existent mythical god of war are way past their evolutionary use-by date and we are seeing the results of that in where they are taking us for a future, namely to the grave.

    How many saviours have we seen come forward with their claims of being the one to take us forward and solve all the problems?

    Everyone of them is the same … big claims, lots of promises. Yet the outcome is always the same … we and the future lose.

  9. TGC

    December 8, 2017 at 10:52 pm

    Jacqui Lambie has an outstanding political brain – as she demonstrated as a Senator and if Tasmanians could just bring themselves to vote for the equally brilliant teams she is assembling for the State election it is entirely likely she could lead a government the like of which we have never previously experienced.
    We don’t need to know what her team’s policies are – we just know she will work for Tasmania.
    No-one else will.

  10. Tony Stone

    December 8, 2017 at 8:03 pm

    #9, It will be interesting to see what sort of platform they put out. So far have yet to see any thing Jackie has said, that gives me confidence they can put forward a progressive realistic policy program.

    There is no doubt her heart and actions are in the right place, she is certainly passionate. But when it comes to putting together a working crew, with a real plan and policy direction, we just have to wait and see.

    It’s a bit like One nation and other small parties, people are sick of the status quo so more and more are moving to small parties. They still have the hope, it is a party that will get them out this mess, when it’s the opposite, The only thing that will get us out of tis mess, is us the people. Let’s hope I’m wrong about that.

  11. Robin Charles Halton

    December 8, 2017 at 4:53 pm

    #9 Trevor … interesting times as long a Lambie does not lose her head. In the meantime she could do well in the State election with no more trips to sex shops with staff or candidates please!

    It seems she has done well so far 4 in Braddon and as of last night 4 in Bass, do you know if she is going further afield!

    The time is ripe for an Independent JLN stance in the State as the Liberals in particular are looking very dull, some overshadowing by the mixed reaction to Taswater takeover and their failure to complete the Council business with Huon, fine by Glenorchy as they can move forward and have elections soon, BEFORE the next State elections!

    There is too much unfinished business for the Liberals to claim any chance of victory although it has been a slightly better run with them than Labor had put together during the reign of Bartlett, Giddings with Greens Ministers O’Connor along with Mr McKim.

    From what I can understand Lambie could steal up to 10% of the state vote with her moderate right wing stance mixed with community compassion, something one does not see with the Greens who only represent themselves, the Tarkine, Swift parrots and little else!

    Labor leader Bec White is OK but most of her team have been tried and tested before and I would not rate their chances to govern alone either, and the same for the Liberals under Hodgman.

    Without a strong willed referee either would tippy toe along on a similar path of leaving the State rather dulled and continuing with business as usual.

    Voters face a difficult decision to decide how they should vote for the betterment of the State that has currently has been dragging its feet for more than a decade of uncertianity!

    A shot out of the blue

  12. TGC

    December 8, 2017 at 3:59 pm

    Certainly the team that Lambie has put together has formidable political, economic, environmental and social credentials and would be a very considerable intellectual force in the Tasmanian parliament- in any parliament.

    We could be well served by a Lambie led government.

  13. Tony Stone

    December 8, 2017 at 12:31 pm

    Does it really matter who gets elected? Nothing will change because none of them have a clue as to what to do for a viable future.

    All the talk about traffic in Hobart, and other issues, revolve around the same approach we’ve witnessed for decades – and they have solved nothing.

    There’s one glaring fact with transport no one seems to be taking into account … already around the planet electric vehicles are being built and within a few years electric will be the norm except for the dodo approach of those states that continue to stick with the dying transport past, fossil fuels.

    Any method to address the growing traffic congestion in all major urban areas of Tasmania should be totally orientated to electric transport.

    If we want to drive our economy forward, we should be designing and building low cost small urban electric cars, commercial and public transport, and then ban all vehicles from CBDs, except electric commuters, electric bikes and delivery vehicles.

    The old rail yards could be covered with gardens and other tourist orientated constructions. Under all this would be a distribution center, fed by light electric rail from the transport hub at Brighton. It would allow goods to be dropped at different points from Brighton to the CBD, then delivered by electric trucks.

    Add passenger carriages to the freight and we have a very good Brighton to the CBD commuter system. Do the same with other large urban areas and we solve a lot of problems and create industry and jobs that will last.

    Using electric delivery vans round the CBD and small commuter vehicles would reduce congestion, take large vehicles out of the area, reduce pollution and provide a close distribution center.

    This would take large, polluting, noisy vehicles out of urban areas by reducing congestion and making the CBD a much cleaner, quieter and safer place for people.

    None of the parties, or independents, will have any form of progressive future creating policies – just more of the same growing failures.

    The dumb stupidity of their plan to introduce traffic control will lead to the same outcome as we see everywhere they use this. The traffic problems will be moved elsewhere and not removed, just moved around.

    It will also cost us a large amount of money as they go through their insane reviews, feasibility studies, investigations and committees.

    This will cost us heaps, ad it will be years before they get round to making a decision and by then, everything would have changed for the worse.

    Can anyone name a decision by the incumbents over the last decade or so that has actually improved our lives, economic stance and viable future?

    All the decisions they make costs us lots of money and the outcomes are the opposite to what they claimed they would be.

    The RHH is a glaring example of complete incompetence on all levels, and it has not improved services or outcome one bit, just cost us over 1 billion dollars for a non-working outcome.

    The facts are, our health system is now in a worse condition – and it is the same for all policy areas,

  14. phill Parsons

    December 8, 2017 at 8:21 am

    It’s a funny old thing that all I hear about is Hobart when the majority of members are not in Denison. Hence the announcement of spending early to buy a vote and boat in the NW.

    Of course bringing it forward also allows for it to be deferred, except that the demand is there and there are limited restrictions on Bass Strait ferry traffic volume.

    The only traffic fix that does not involve the NSW solution of pulling down a perfectly good city [stadium] and building a new one is to reduce the volume by adding more choices of mode and time of travel. There is the possibility of building overhead roading but that too will eventually clog up just like everywhere else where they stuck with private cars.

  15. Robin Charles Halton

    December 8, 2017 at 12:45 am

    Now we are facing an extended silly season up till the next State election in March 2018.

    Hows this one an announcement in the Mercury a couple of days ago.

    “Hopes riding on hi-tech fix for traffic”

    Technology designed to change driver behaviour and help fix Hobart’s worsening traffic congestion is set to be a game changer for Tasmanian motorists.

    ect, ect….. Vehicle travel trips across Greater Hobart are expected to grow 0.5% annually over the next 20 years. ect ect……

    the latest developments follow the awarding of a $179,000 tender to GHD Australia and Kapash, which is looking at lane management traffic signal operations and a system wide analysis

    Infrastructure Minister Rene Hidding said the technology was quite exciting and innovative. enabling the traffic control center to directly control traffic to control traffic signals to quickly ease congestion points and communicate traffic information directly to commuters.

    Information on predicted route travel would ultimately be displayed and updated on large road signs and sent to smart phones.
    ………………………………………..
    All very well but at after reaching a certain point the physical roading infrastructure nor the technology will not be capable of handling increased traffic flows.

    It seems that no one in government wants to listen to the reality and that is new roading infrastructure is required, cycles, light rail, river ferries and Metro services cannot possibly replace the dependence on roads and highways.

    Hobart is constrained by topographical limitations hence the movement of traffic to, through and from the CBD requires to move beyond 1970’s when the Southern outlet was constructed and later when the Eastern Outlet was opened.

    I have been waiting for the past twenty years for the city traffic flow issues to be addressed especially through the CBD with heavy trucks which in fact have increased with housing and business developments with population growth from Sorell to Kingborough and Huon.

  16. Robin Charles Halton

    December 7, 2017 at 7:17 pm

    #4 BPW Stage 1 being achievable at a reasonable cost as you quote without the complicated nonsense of constructing concrete offshore walking paths costing ten of thousands beyond to Marieville Espl. is more of a project for the Hobart City Council, probably a good one to spruik coming up to next Council elections.

    Hobart must be the only city or coastal town in Australia without a walkway, mainly due to the hob knobs who dont want the public walking past sharing their exclusive coastal views.

    Poor old Alderman Jeff whats his name, he must be sick and tied of trying to promote the impossible, heaps of money already wasted with “consultants”, court cases and the purchase of submerged Crown Land from former City’s Mayor Rob Valentine’s mate Sir Guy Green.

    But it might be having a talk with Sue Hickey ,she has more spark than the entire Council and State government put together!

  17. mike seabrook

    December 7, 2017 at 6:18 pm

    surely they could find $400,000.

    this stage 1 (gravelled) of the battery point walk way would be one of the most delightful walked paths in hobart from franklin wharf/salamanca to purdon and featherstone reserve.

    and could be achieved in a very short time

    spending big money in denison or franklin electorates will not swing one state seat. they are locked in as 2 lab – 2 lib – 1 green.

  18. Robin Charles Halton

    December 7, 2017 at 2:47 pm

    For Hodgman to survive the onslaught at the next State election the liberals need to provide an exciting roading infrastructure project, one that badly needed to address the vechicular congestion through the CBD.

    Resoulution of the Davey St Macquarie St issues would be a good start to be tapping on the shoulder of the Federal Government for funding over a period of 5-10years to construct a city bypass from the Southern Outlet across the lower foothills of Mt Wellington towards the western suburbs to divert most of the unnecessary traffic entering the city in particular coming from the Southern region in Kingborough and Huon regions.

    A wake up call for Mr Hodgman from the electorate of Franklin.
    I wonder if he ever gets out and about his electorate which is in the fastest growing region in the State which is trapped geographically by the Wellington Range to the Derwent Estuary!

    There is no way there is a digital solution as has been thrown around by the media, its a job for bulldozers, heavy earthmoving equipment and explosives with lots of judicious foward planning.

    #1 Mike, partial construction of BPW pales into insignificance in comparison the roading issues through the city as do cycle lanes and NSLR which would barely account to transport remediation within the grand scheme of things.

  19. TGC

    December 6, 2017 at 6:40 pm

    This EMRS poll gives hope for a big increase in spending on health, education, social services and infrastructures because Labor has indicated – via strong criticism of Liberal policies in these areas – that in government it will right the wrongs.

  20. mike seabrook

    December 6, 2017 at 2:01 pm

    remember geoffrey kennett and alan stockdale in victoria

    spend up big and look good now and leave a legacy to be remembered by.

    looks good for big spending everywhere but dennison and franklin to buy/rent votes.

    if spending in denison how about building/ gravelling stage 1 of the battery point walkway – 400 metres from bottom of finlay street to purdon and featherstone reserve at bottom of derwent street – est. $1,000 per metre – could do for est. $400,000. ( look at mount wellington tracks and clarence foreshore gravel walks – walk the foreshore now at low tide.)

    no votes in economic responsibility.

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