… and ALP preferred in Tasmania

October 10 2016 Finding No. 6999 Topic: Public Opinion State Poll

At the other end of the country in Tasmania there continues to be a disconnect between personal popularity and that of the party. The ALP Opposition 52% (down 2%) leads the Liberal Government 48% (up 2%) on a two-party preferred basis whilst Liberal Premier Will Hodgman 55.5% (down 2%) is still regarded as the ‘Better Premier’ than Opposition Leader Bryan Green 44.5% (up 2%).

This SMS Morgan Poll on State voting intention was conducted in early October with a representative cross-section of 4,972 Australian electors.

TASMANIA: ALP would win Election

2PP: ALP 52% (down 2% since August 19-22, 2016) cf. Liberals 48% (up 2%). Estimate: 2PP vote is not applicable to the Tasmanian lower house which uses the Hare-Clark proportional voting system.

Primary vote: Liberals 39% (up 1.5%), ALP 33% (down 3%), Greens 16% (up 0.5%), Jacqui Lambie Network 6% (unchanged) and Independents/ Others 6% (up 1%).

Better Premier: Premier Will Hodgman (Liberal) v Bryan Green (ALP):
Mr. Hodgman 55.5% (down 2%) cf. Mr. Green 44.5% (up 2%); Lead to Mr Hodgman 11% (down 4%).

Tasmanian real unemployment is now 11.6% (down 0.6% since May – July
2016) and under-employment is 14.8% (up 3.6%). This means total Tasmanian unemployment & under-employment is 26.4% (up 3%).
(Interviewed July – September 2016).

Tasmanian State Election is due to be held before December 31, 2018.

Read more HERE
Roy Morgan Research