Tasmanian Times

The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. No price is too high for the privilege of owning yourself. ~ Friedrich Nietzsche

The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. No price is too high for the privilege of owning yourself. ~ Friedrich Nietzsche

Economy

BASSLINK: A Wrap. $400m cost? The Senate Inquiry …

This is in the UTAS archives from December 1932 … Updated with a picture of 2016 Energy Minister Matthew Groom.

THE BASSLINK SAGA on Tasmanian Times …

BASSLINK, John Lawrence: Is Hydro insolvent?

BASSLINK wrap: ‘Interconnector fault pinpointed’

BASSLINK: Graph of the Day, Tasmania’s switch back to fossil fuels

BASSLINK wrap: Libs secretly migrated own Internet services off Basslink. Will, Entura, Board …

Basslink’s wrong cut … ?

What can you expect from a Hydro Board with five business/finance backgrounds and a single, solitary engineer … ?

Nero fiddled, Basslink fried, includes an embedded WIDGET showing Tassie’s energy use of Hydro, Wind, Gas, Solar, Liquid Fuel …

John Lawrence’s Basslink under water

Basslink Update

Garry Stannus’ Tasmania’s Energy Crisis

Bad News Trainwreck for Good News Matthew

Bad News Trainwreck for Good News Will

Chris Harries’ Basslink: A short summary of risks

Hydro, Basslink: Is it true?

Read for yourself: Liberal energy promises … and solar reality …

MEANWHILE …

Satire: Tasmanian Heritage …

• Luigi in Comments: So Will Hodgman has set forth to visit Keppel Corporation Limited in Singapore. That’s possibly a step in the right direction for a Premier who has done an excellent job so far of not dirtying his hands over this “extreme natural event”. But can someone tell me why Keppel Corporation didn’t see fit to come here to speak to our Premier? If someone had to go cap-in-hand to Singapore, why not Matthew Groom?

• Peter in Comments: Tasmania’s energy crisis could cost the island state’s economy more than $400 million, an energy expert has warned. Much of the cost will be borne by Hydro Tasmania, the state’s electricity monopoly, other state-owned energy companies and the state government.

• A.K. in Comments: For $100 million we could have put solar panels and energy storage on every rural house and urban buildings that can generate power and never have power problems again.

ABC: Tasmanian energy: Greens declare generators an ‘environmental crisis’ as inquiry begins

• Bryan Green in Comments: Major industrials confirm Groom did not consult before shutting down power station

• Use the TT NEWS dropdown menu for breaking news/comment on the inquiry ( ABC HERE ). And go to TT Media HERE for the permanent links on What the Pollies reckon …

• phill Parsons in Comments: There we were watching the ABC News and the Energy Minister at the Senate Inquiry was broadcast. Matthew ‘Crisis, what crisis’ Groom came on to say you can call the failure of the Bass Strait cable and the drought as a crisis if you wish. We burst into laughter, but after all it was Wednesday, the ABC comedy night. Here on the NW Coast everyone I meet talks about the lack of rain, a drought denied by the Hodgman government, an energy crisis denied by the Hodgman government and a climate crisis denied by the Hodgman government.

50 Comments

50 Comments

  1. Claire Gilmour

    April 5, 2016 at 4:12 pm

    What a complete debacle.

    Why aren’t Hydro Tasmania’s board members, Audit committee and the Business Risk Committee fronting the inquiry?

    Hydro says one of their core values in their code of ethics is …“Our vision – We are accountable for our actions”

    So let’s see some accountability! ‘Cos obviously their ‘sustainability code’ leaves the “present and future reliability” up the creek without a paddle!

  2. Claire Gilmour

    April 5, 2016 at 4:30 pm

    Ps Thank goodness I went off grid and onto ‘solar’ power a decade ago … It’s just so great …

    Good luck to the government getting fuel continually pumped for their generators! Let’s see … will they turn life support systems off so they can pump their fuel? Who will be saved first? The dying? the criminals? (need power to keep ’em locked up), the government?

    Perhaps the banks and churches and mining companies should be made to invest in renewable energy so to run their ‘big businesses’ … if you have no solar/wind/renewable energy system, you should get no tax dodge!?!

  3. Pete Godfrey

    April 5, 2016 at 5:34 pm

    Today Will Hodgman has announced in a media release that he is going to stop off in Singapore on the China trade trip, to have a chat to senior partners in the company that owns Basslink.

    We can only guess but it doesn’t sound good that he needs to meet with them.

    If all was well and Basslink was going to be repaired on time would there be a need to meet?

  4. Chris

    April 5, 2016 at 6:41 pm

    Drop off on the way to China to arrange for another Cable.
    We certainly got our monies worth with the last one.

    I have an idea let’s buy another link, get some cashed up facilitator to help and pay them another $45 million to say a few words on our behalf and whatever you do Mafew don’t allow the State to own it otherwise we won’t have anyone to pay an incentive or two to.

    Sides the rent/lease of $95 million will keep the HEC with something to do.

  5. Mike

    April 5, 2016 at 6:52 pm

    #2 My guess is that they will switch off Hobart first and leave Launceston running …nobody votes for Liberal down here anyway.

  6. Luigi

    April 5, 2016 at 7:30 pm

    #3. Who says there’s no such thing as a free lunch?

  7. Luigi

    April 7, 2016 at 5:21 pm

    So Will Hodgman has set forth to visit Keppel Corporation Limited in Singapore. That’s possibly a step in the right direction for a Premier who has done an excellent job so far of not dirtying his hands over this “extreme natural event”.

    But can someone tell me why Keppel Corporation didn’t see fit to come here to speak to our Premier?

    If someone had to go cap-in-hand to Singapore, why not Matthew Groom?

  8. Lyle

    April 7, 2016 at 8:15 pm

    This is fantastic April Fool’s Day Satire …

    from ITNews …

    http://www.itnews.com.au/news/revealed-tas-govt-cut-basslink-in-nbn-protest-417550

  9. Peter

    April 10, 2016 at 2:04 pm

    Tasmania’s energy crisis could cost the island state’s economy more than $400 million, an energy expert has warned.

    Much of the cost will be borne by Hydro Tasmania, the state’s electricity monopoly, other state-owned energy companies and the state government.

    ARTICLE
    Apr 10 2016 at 5:19 PM
    Updated Apr 10 2016 at 5:19 PM

    Tassie energy crisis could cost island state more than $400m

    Hydro Tasmania’s dams are down to 13.6 per cent average capacity.

    by Ben Potter

    Tasmania’s energy crisis could cost the island state’s economy more than $400 million, an energy expert has warned.

    Much of the cost will be borne by Hydro Tasmania, the state’s electricity monopoly, other state-owned energy companies and the state government.

    Manufacturers such as Rio Tinto’s Bell Bay Aluminium are having to reduce their electricity consumption to avert blackouts and pay more for the energy they consume – costing sales and putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

    Tasmania’s wholesale electricity price has been around $250 a megawatt hour since its lifeline to the mainline – the Basslink high voltage interconnector – was cut on December 20.

    The tear in the 12cm diameter Basslink cable that has sent Tasmania into an electricity emergency.
    This is about five times what the state was paying for wholesale electricity before the outage when it was importing large quantities of electricity from Victoria’s low-cost brown coal generators via Basslink.

    Basslink’s outage coincided with a severe drought that had already begun to deplete Tasmania’s dams – its main source of baseload electricity apart from Basslink – compounding the crisis.

    The new cost estimates, which are disputed, come as Basslink’s Singaporean owners reassure Tasmania’s Premier Will Hodgman that they are doing all they can to meet a mid-June deadline to resume service.

    Keppel Corporation chair Lee Boon Yang “made it clear [they are] treating the repair of the Basslink interconnector as a matter of priority,” Mr Hodgman said on Saturday.

    Sources close to the government say the cost to Hydro itself is less than $200 million by a wide margin, most of which can be covered by new borrowing.

    But that doesn’t include costs to electricity users and others, which could take years of litigation to determine. The Tasmanian Audit Office had expressed concern at Hydro’s shrinking cashflow even before the Basslink outage.

    South32’s Tasmanian Electro Metallurgical Company (TEMCO), Norske Skog and Nyrstar’s zinc smelter have also been asked to cut their power use.

    BIG NUMBERS

    “Whatever the number, it’s big,” said Paul McArdle, managing director of energy consultancy Global-Roam, in a blog post last month. Mr McArdle estimated the crisis would add about $216 million to Tasmania’s energy costs over the March quarter.

    The estimate is based on average prices of about $150 MWh – about $100 above pre-crisis prices – and average consumption of 1000MW over the quarter.

    Last month Basslink said it wouldn’t be back in service until mid-June, the fourth time the deadline has been extended.

    This means Tasmania will have paid the current sky-high prices for six months, lifting the estimated extra cost of electricity to about $430 million.

    Marc White of Goanna Energy Consulting said little of this cost will hit customers because most businesses have fixed-price contracts, although some firms with expired contracts or no contracts face a big price shock.

    The state government budgeted for a $57 million operating deficit in 2015-16, which will be wider now that Hydro Tasmania expects to make a loss this year.

    The impact will be limited because the government was only counting on $17 million in dividends and taxes from Hydro this year, down from $133 million last year, before drought depleted its dams.

    Hydro Tasmania has also spent $44 million importing 200 one-megawatt diesel generators that will cost about $22 million a month to operate when they are all up and running, and an unknown amount bringing mothballed “redundant” gas turbines back into service.

    Only part of these costs can be recovered from customers. Hydro Tasmania also risks possible long-term damage to its dams and equipment because of the very low dam levels, which which have fallen to 13.6 per cent on average.

    http://www.afr.com/business/energy/tassie-energy-crisis-could-cost-island-state-more-than-400m-20160405-gnyt8h

  10. Luigi

    April 10, 2016 at 3:22 pm

    #9 The Fin Rev must have got it wrong. Peter Gutwein said the cock up won’t cost the state anything.

  11. Luigi

    April 10, 2016 at 10:47 pm

    And we are at 13.6% again for water energy levels.

    And 66MW of rent-a-diesel power today. That’s 2/3rds of what we were promised by 31st March. A further 134MW is needed to reach the Hydro’s 30th April target.

  12. Karl Stevens

    April 11, 2016 at 1:30 pm

    Repair vessel the Ile De Re is about to arrive back at the Basslink work zone. Do they have the repaired cable onboard? Do they have a new cable length onboard that only requires 2 joins? Is reconnecting the fiber optic cable classed as an additional ‘join’ by Basslink?

  13. A.K.

    April 11, 2016 at 1:54 pm

    For $100 million we could have put solar panels and energy storage on every rural house and urban buildings that can generate power and never have power problems again.

    That would be to logically sensible for the idiot cretins you all elect every time. Why would any want to vote for sensible policies, rather than the never ending lies of primitive minded ideologues.

    This energy situation will only get worse and worse as the months drag on and very little rain comes to Tas, as predicted by climate change scenarios and coming true.

    Then what, more empty semantic dribble from commentators, more lies from the pollies and hoping their non existent god will come and save them and the planet.

    But if sensible workable solutions are put forward, they are totally ignored. Everyone clings desperately to the ideals and approaches of the incumbent ideological failures, clinging desperately to the past.

    To late now people, as I predicted a couple of years ago here, this would happen and now it has and you all still are in total denial.

    Just wait for the next episode, it’s all down hill from here in a big way.

    There are no plans for the future, other than head in the sand status quo clinging. Hasn’t anyone woken up yet, they have no plans and never will, the bass link cable will fail again very quickly.

    Guess who will end up paying because the owners will abandon it, when they realise they have to relay all the cable again.

    No guesses what the outcome of this insane approach is and then what happens a year or so down the track, when there is no improvement in rain fall, just a constant drop, as temps rise.

    What do our glorious leaders have planned for that unavoidable reality, nothing and they never will.

    Denial or reality is what kills people, throughout history, it’s what has killed all ideological societies and none have ever turned back the clock or survived the evolutionary changes.

    Yet you all expect our glorious leaders will find a way to bring back the past and will do nothing to change in any way.

    How hilarious is that, if you were an alien watching the human race destroy itself to preserve it’s egocentric denial of reality.

    The answers are all there for the taking and answers which would turn our state around in every way, giving it a great chance of surviving.

    But nothing will be done, absolutely nothing. because to change would mean they would be going against their vested interests. Does anyone know who is actually providing these generators at such obscene rentals, could be a lib party donor.

  14. Luigi

    April 11, 2016 at 3:54 pm

    I treasure this link because of the headline: “… it’s not a problem that our country goes dark at night”. I have thought that I might be able to use it in a month or so here on TT. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/north-korea-its-not-a-problem-that-country-goes-dark-at-night-10033200.html

    But it’s also apt as a reflection on #13. North Korea’s way of doing business would solve the world’s warming problem.

    Or else it’s our destiny.

  15. Karl Stevens

    April 12, 2016 at 6:34 pm

    The Basslink repair vessel appears to be heading to Bell Bay. It’s just off the coast at George Town.

  16. Karl Stevens

    April 12, 2016 at 11:08 pm

    The Basslink repair vessel has turned around and is heading back out to sea after almost landing at George Town. Why?

  17. Luigi

    April 13, 2016 at 11:40 am

    #16 Maybe it’s following the cable to find the loose end.

  18. Mike Bolan

    April 13, 2016 at 1:07 pm

    Today’s Examiner reveals that the CGC turbine at the Tamar Valley is due to be turned off for maintenance. The turbine was being serviced recently so why wasn’t the maintenance done while the turbine was out of service?

    What kind of planning is the Hydro doing?

  19. Luigi

    April 13, 2016 at 1:50 pm

    #18. Different turbines. The big Mitsubishi closed cycle gas turbine which produces 208MW has been our saviour for the past two months. It’s the one that needs maintenace. The smaller 58MW open cycle Rolls Royce Trent unit that was away for warranty repairs is running fine.

  20. Second Opinion

    April 13, 2016 at 3:35 pm

    Here is the picture of the Basslink cable being cut.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-03-13/basslink-cable-cut/7243270

    Also drums of cable at Geelong
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-04-03/spools-of-cable/7295342

    There would have been many joins in the cable, both in manufacturing, and in the deployment phase.
    I trust someone is monitoring the ILE DE RE’s movements.

  21. Bryan Green MR posted by editor

    April 13, 2016 at 4:44 pm

    Major industrials confirm Groom did not consult before shutting down power station

    • Bell Bay Aluminium & Nyrstar confirm they were not consulted on TVPS decommission and sale
    • Groom kept Tasmania’s biggest energy users in the dark
    • Revelation means Minister must resign

    In explosive evidence before today’s Senate Inquiry, two of Tasmania’s biggest energy users, Bell Bay Aluminium and Nyrstar, have confirmed they were not consulted by the Government over the sale of Tamar Valley Power Station.

    The CEO of Bell Bay Aluminium Ray Mostogl told the committee that if the power station had been running last year, it could have offset at least some of the $23 million in losses the business has incurred as a result of having to reduce its power usage.

    Mr Mostogl said the company would have to work hard to regain market share and secure the future of the smelter as a result of the energy crisis.

    Labor Leader Bryan Green said the revelation exposes Energy Minister Matthew Groom.

    “Based on the evidence put to the Senate Inquiry by our major industrials, Matthew Groom should resign,” Mr Green said.

    “It’s been confirmed that neither Bell Bay Aluminium or Nyrstar were consulted prior to the Tamar Valley Power Station being decommissioned and put up for sale.

    “Matthew Groom excluded our most important energy-using businesses from a crucial energy security decision.

    “It’s scandalous that these businesses were not consulted.

    “Matthew Groom was prepared to massively undermine our biggest employers and completely keep them in the dark.

    “The businesses gave evidence that failing to renew long term gas contracts for the TVPS would result in an unsustainable increase in gas transmission costs.”

  22. Helen

    April 13, 2016 at 8:26 pm

    George Town Residents were advised by Hydro Tasmania that approx. 16 diesel generators would generate 21 megawatts of power from the G T Substation by the end of March. On Tues.April 12th in the Examiner,again Hydro Tas,they are installing 3 dual fuel units with a combined output of 75 megawatts at Bell Bay. The diesel gens. to be ready end of March?!, now the “duals” by May. Are we getting both, a change of plan again?? Any costing?? From where ‘the Duals’ ? Does anyone know what is going on!!!

  23. Chris

    April 13, 2016 at 8:59 pm

    Hava look at this and tell why we is dry?
    http://eprints.utas.edu.au/12935/1/Evans_thesis.pdf

  24. Luigi

    April 13, 2016 at 10:47 pm

    #22 It’s two separate things.

    The Hydro is installed 30MW of rent-a-diesel portable generators near the George Town substation. At the moment they are producing about 13MW. These were supposed to be fully operational by the end of March.

    The Hydro has also begun installing three “dual fuel” (gas or diesel) generators with a combined output of 75MW in the old Bell Bay Power Station. Said to be functional next month.

  25. Mike Bolan

    April 13, 2016 at 10:55 pm

    #19 Thnx Luigi. Back to the knitting…

  26. Shaun

    April 14, 2016 at 5:27 am

    #18 The maintenance required is due to operating hours.

    It’s like saying that you need to service your car every 10,000 KM. Even if you do it today, you’ll still need to do it again after having driven another 10,000 KM.

  27. Sleepless in Franklin

    April 14, 2016 at 7:46 am

    #23 Great background in this thesis, thanks for posting. This sounded disturbingly relevant (p398):

    ‘As Griffiths has argued, the use of words such as “unprecedented‟ or “unnatural‟ is the “beginning of our forgetting‟ (Griffiths 2010a). This is especially pertinent given the time-lag between events of potentially destructive magnitude.’

  28. phill Parsons

    April 14, 2016 at 11:32 am

    There we were watching the ABC News and the Energy Minister at the Senate Inquiry was broadcast.

    Matthew ‘Crisis, what crisis’ Groom came on to say you can call the failure of the Bass Strait cable and the drought as a crisis if you wish.

    We burst into laughter, but after all it was Wednesday, the ABC comedy night.

    Here on the NW Coast everyone I meet talks about the lack of rain, a drought denied by the Hodgman government, an energy crisis denied by the Hodgman government and a climate crisis denied by the Hodgman government.

  29. A.K.

    April 14, 2016 at 1:15 pm

    Everyone is in denial, that’s the huge problem our future faces. The energy crisis is going to bring us down quickly and in case anyone hasn’t noticed, it looks like we have entered a new era, where our temps will sit close to 20 and above all year round. What this could mean is little winter rain and spasmodic heavy summer rain, no effective bass link and no plans.

    Even if they fix the bass cable, we have to face the fact Aus generators will be at peak usage during summers because of everyone trying to stay cool. Plus now it looks like our winters are going to be almost tropical drought, we so face even bigger energy problems.

    It’s so good to see everyone supporting the ideological elites who have such great workable plans for the future, so they can carry on with their job of making Tas viable, as they are currently doing.

    Yep, their solution is bring in more diesel generators and that will save us. We won’t worry about the millions each month going into the atmosphere further contributing to global warming and destroying our economic future,

    All we have to do is get rid of the political party system now and we can get this crisis over with a year for good, by going totally renewable.

    For our major industries, we would build solar furnace generators close to industry. By storing energy in black salt we can power industry 24/7 and extremely cheaply.

    Put solar and lifepo4 energy storage on every home and building, establish small local community grids, with large lifepo4 storage community banks to power local business if needed. Introduce energy saving into every home, factory and business so we save rather than waste energy.

    By establishing our own 21st century industries, we would ensure a viable economic future, reduce unemployment and establish long term viable non polluting energy industries.

    But no one will do anything, just leave it to the dying ideological insanity or the deluded fools they call our leaders. Anyone with half a brain, can see where that direction is leading and it seems everyone is prepared to accept the death of our society and future. Now that’s real intelligence.

  30. Luigi

    April 14, 2016 at 1:17 pm

    Poor Matthew Groom doesn’t know how much it’s costing the state. When pressed, he seemed to be able to recall the (incorrect) cost of the rent-a-diesels quoted in Hydro’s energy supply plan. (It’s incorrect because they only estimated the operating cost of 100MW of diesels – not the 200MW we have been promised.)

    What he seems not to be able to recall is:

    * the cost of head works to accept the rent-a-diesels,
    * the cost of re-commissioning the Tamar Valley Power Station, re-employing the laid-off maintenance workers and reinstalling its five generators
    * the cost of hastening the return of the Rolls Royce Trent unit from repair,
    * the cost of additional maintenance caused by the high usage rate of the TVPS,
    * the cost of re-commissioning the old Bell Bay Power Station, acquiring three dual fuel generators and installing them,
    *the fuel running costs of the re-commissioned TVPS and BBPS,
    * the cost of claims to be made by the big sponges (estimated by Ray Mostogl at $23million just for Bell Bay Aluminium so far),
    * the possible cost of repairs to Hydro generators caused by running them down to dirty water,
    * the, as yet unquantified and potentially massive, cost of repairs to BasssLink should the state be found liable.

    And I’d like to suggest that the estimated cost of the rent-a-diesels is wrong anyway. Based on the fuel consumption figures of Agrekko (the supplier), 200MW of generators will consume about 1 million litres of fuel per day. That’s about $30 million per month. Plus maintenance costs.

  31. Luigi

    April 14, 2016 at 2:05 pm

    And the prize for the best statement so far to the Senate inquiry goes to Ray Mostogl (quoted on ABC News last night): ““Well we drained the dams with one cable. Imagine what we could do with two.”

    Ray doesn’t seem to understand that this is an extreme natural event. And he certainly doesn’t understand our state government’s pressing need for a second BassLink cable. And he also seems to want the Tamar Valley Power Station to be kept running! Ray is not singing from the correct sheet of music.

  32. Chris

    April 14, 2016 at 4:00 pm

    #31
    Macquarie bank would like a second cable, after all that with inflation would get them about $60 million this time for their advice and possibly a share in the goodies provided, good old millionaires factory.
    No need for second cable unless we generate about 800 megawatts over our needs from lots of propellors, sunny platforms and Gee Oh Thermal, perhaps the Millionaires Factory could advise us that the hot under the ground is there for the next thousand years and no carbon emission cost and we could then sendit to the big island at a profit and it would replace our refining highly paid and automated industries as they do an Electolux at $2.50 an hour, Thailand is a nice place they make bulldozers there too.
    The INOVATIVE policy of the Abetz led Government wants to increase our population to 650,000 or more and we will not need a cable as we can use all the power that we require here.
    Shirley we cannot make this up?

  33. Karl Stevens

    April 14, 2016 at 4:57 pm

    Apparently Tasmania is a ‘a world leader on tackling climate change’ but hopeless on tackling an ‘extreme natural event’?

    http://www.premier.tas.gov.au/releases/tasmania_a_world_leader_on_tackling_climate_change

  34. Luigi

    April 14, 2016 at 6:18 pm

    #33, Karl, that MR was two days before our clueless government fried BassLink by exporting our dwindling water for all it was worth, in the midst of a global warming weather pattern drought.

    If you ask now, I’m sure Will wouldn’t even know the cause of the extreme natural event. “Nothing to do with me.”

  35. Luigi

    April 14, 2016 at 6:32 pm

    Bruny Island is connected to the “mainland” by cable – just like a mini BassLink. Their cable can’t quite cope either. So the Australian Renewable Energy Agency has given Bruny a $2.9 million grant to establish a distributed (rooftop) solar power system, including battery storage. The excess power will be “virtually” aggregated and sold using technology from Dean Spaccavento’s Rep­osit Power.

    Because the energy can be stored in batteries, it can also be sold at the right time at peak demand prices.

    Mr Spaccavento says, “The reason Bruny Island was chosen was because of the constraints they have from their undersea cables,” he said. “A battery with a solar panel can be converted into a remarkable power stat­ion. It’s fast and can both produce and consume power in an instant — it’s the type of power station the future needs.”

    http://www.themercury.com.au/news/tasmania/residents-on-bruny-island-to-sell-solar-power-after-29m-renewable-energy-grant/news-story/945d59a87250bbfc2d533e8ff9009ace

    I think Matthew needs to give Mr Spaccavento a call – although there’s a risk that, in the wrong hands, this technology could deplete the sun’s rays in an extreme natural event.

  36. john powell

    April 14, 2016 at 7:38 pm

    Luigi, I commend your satire at #31.

    Having had substantive interaction with Ray M he knew exactly what he was saying and stated it perfectly.

    Suspect Bell Bay Aluminium will not be with us in 2017/8 thanks to Minister Groom, Treasurer Gutwein, and the Hydro Tasmanian Board SHAME

  37. John Hawkins

    April 14, 2016 at 10:02 pm

    My Spring here at Bentley ran dry this week for the first time in living memory.

    We are on the world’s finest limestone Karst theoretically protected from clear fell logging on the Western Tiers under World Heritage Listing.

    The Great Lake is virtually empty and it feeds into our Karst below the mountain; hence into my spring.

    Abbott and Abetz consistently spruik the mantra that Climate Change is Crap.

    A lie that was perpetrated by the fossil fuel industry who funded the Liberals at the last election on the premise that the Liberals would Roll back the Carbon Tax.

    They were backed in Tasmania by the Green hating Examiner and the Rupert Murdoch owned Mercury.

    The chickens I suggest are rapidly coming home to roost.

    Can you believe that we elect these brain dead jerks who will criticise and hate anyone for political advantage.

    It is beyond pathetic.

  38. Luigi

    April 15, 2016 at 12:20 am

    #37. Sounds like an extreme natural event, John, doesn’t it?

  39. Karl Stevens

    April 15, 2016 at 1:45 am

    Luigi 38. Or an extremely unnatural event?

  40. Factfinder

    April 15, 2016 at 2:03 am

    Enel Tests Tesla’s Solar Plus Energy Storage System in South Africa

    April 14, 2016
    By Paul Burkhardt, Bloomberg

    Enel Green Power SpA, the renewable energy unit of Italy’s biggest utility, is rolling out a version of Tesla Motors Inc.’s home-power kit to help South African retail customers buffer against rising electricity prices and grid outages.

    With South African power tariffs set to rise 9.4 percent this year, Tesla’s battery systems could become more attractive to customers seeking to reliably store self-generated renewable energy at home, said Enel Green Power Chief Executive Officer Francesco Venturini in a phone interview. Power outages plagued the country’s grid on average about every fourth day last year.

    “Now that the prices are going up, people are going to look at entirely different solutions,” Venturini said. …

    Future Market
    The Tesla system is a small-scale example of the experiments with energy storage that utilities around the globe are conducting as a way to help balance the electric grid. As more power from wind and solar plants feeds into networks, grid managers are having to cope with flows that vary with weather fluctuations. Storage devices including batteries help even out the peaks and valleys in supply, helping prevent overloads and blackouts.”

    Source: http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/04/enel-tests-tesla-s-solar-plus-energy-storage-system-in-south-africa.html

  41. Scott Bacon MR posted by edtior

    April 15, 2016 at 1:17 pm

    Scott Bacon MP
    Shadow Treasurer 16 April 2016
    Government put profit ahead of energy security

    • Government prioritised profit over energy security in lead-up to crisis
    • Hydro blackmailed into changing strategy
    • Groom and Gutwein must take responsibility

    It’s increasingly clear that the Liberal Government’s focus on dividends over energy security has contributed significantly to the energy crisis.

    Shadow Treasurer Scott Bacon said senior Government members put profit ahead of the state’s energy future.

    “The evidence is stacking up,” Mr Bacon said.

    “Documents released this week through the Right To Information Process show the Government was determined to extract $75 million from Hydro at any cost.

    “It shows Hydro was blackmailed, with the Government refusing to guarantee an equity transfer unless a new “strategic direction” was adopted.

    “The Government was threatening to hold back $120 million unless Hydro shifted its focus.

    “The Liberal Government was squeezing every last cent out of our energy businesses at the expense of a secure supply of power.

    “This short-sighted and greedy demand triggered a series of events that have contributed significantly to the crisis the state finds itself in.

    “The Tamar Valley Power Station was decommissioned and put up for sale at the worst possible time.

    “Instead of it being run to conserve our hydro storages, it was shut down with workers there sacked.

    “The bottom line is the Government was more interested in propping up its budget than it was in energy security.

    “It’s time that Minister Matthew Groom and Treasurer Peter Gutwein admitted their demands of Hydro have had damaging consequences.”

  42. Luigi

    April 15, 2016 at 11:20 pm

    A Media Release from BassLink: http://www.basslink.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Media-Statement-15-April-FINAL.pdf

    Seems they need six straight days of good weather for each joint.

    “The team is currently utilising remotely operated underwater vehicles to conduct a survey of the seabed where it is proposed to lay the cable bight.”

    While they’re at it, perhaps they’ll keep an eye out for evidence of the supertrawler.

  43. Luigi

    April 17, 2016 at 11:08 pm

    The water in storage energy levels have gone from 13.6% and Rising last week to 13.4% and Falling this week, after a very dry week. Power consumption is also rising with the onset of cold weather.

  44. Karl Stevens

    April 18, 2016 at 11:39 am

    The map at the bottom of this page shows Tasmania’s current climate problems.
    Water surface temperatures in the first quarter of 2016 all around Tasmania have been the warmest ever recorded.
    The story is on coral bleaching in Sydney Harbour.
    Hope you don’t hit the paywall.
    http://www.smh.com.au/environment/sydneys-corals-now-bleaching-in-pretty-shocking-sign-of-warming-waters-20160418-go8qex.html

  45. Robin Charles Halton

    April 18, 2016 at 12:20 pm

    No matter which was in power the ambition to drain our lake storages would have gone ahead to sell electricity to the mainland to “make money”.

    Too bad with the broken Bass Link cable, nothing should be depended on as the lakes continue to fall.

    The consumer (us) are about to fall victim to an electricity price rise, it could drastic as Hydro Tasmania now find that it may facing a grand loss with no effective profit or financial gain over the last ten years of Bass Link operation.

    The crisis is not over yet, there is little to no rain, diesel is believed to cost in the order of $11M / month not to mention the un necessary air pollution.

    Next most likely will be the large commercial users having to further reduce production and their claims for compensation as the demand for guaranteed electricity supply diminishes which could lead to them to move offshore to Asia!

    Tough luck as colder weather arrives the demand to electricity ramps up, further power saving will need to be found, this is where wood heater owners will come into their own.

  46. Second Opinion

    April 18, 2016 at 2:20 pm

    Check out the movements of the ILE DE RE at http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/oldshipid:171704/oldmmsi:226337000/olddate:lastknown#
    Press the Show track button, and speed it up to X10
    Hope it knows what it is doing.

  47. Luigi

    April 19, 2016 at 12:11 am

    An update on gas and diesel generators:

    * The rent-a-diesels are now producing 80% of the 100MW which was promised by 30th March. But I’m sure 100% of it is “installed”, which is Matthew’s favoured weasel-word. 20% of it is just not producing anything.

    * The three Pratt & Whitney open cycle gas turbines at Tamar Valley Power Station – which should produce 105MW – also merit mention. They have been running at about 50% capacity for over a month, but are now down to 33%. I wonder if we’ll be told why.

    And I also wonder if the costs of operation of the entire Tamar Valley Power Station, which had been decommissioned in readiness for sale, will be added to Peter Gutwein’s “cost disclosure” agenda along with the rent-a-diesels. Or must we be content with partial disclosure?

  48. John Hawkins

    April 19, 2016 at 12:50 am

    Luigi

    Why do you think we the people will be or should be told anything.

    Pollies get their highly paid jobs without any form of screening as to their ability to hold down the job or for that matter any job.

    Having got the job they will say or do anything to keep it.

    If Groom held an executive position in a public company on his performance to date he would have been rightly sacked and sacked pronto.

    The political talent pool is so shallow that like the water it just drains away.

    To protect his back Groom will only release info that shows him in a good light.

    As there is little or no good news he lives in a state of perpetual darkness. He will try to say and do nothing hoping that the problem will just go away.

    Pathetic really another nodding head promoted way above his station.

  49. Karl Stevens

    April 19, 2016 at 12:41 pm

    Second Opinion 46
    The Ile De Re tracking at X10 is pretty amazing. They are obviously operating in an area fixed by GPS but why all the zig zags? They are actually covering a lot of Kms in a small area.
    It occurred to me that the last join to be made in June could be on land. I think they are replacing the entire length between the break point and Tasmania.
    That’s why they modified the Ile De Re to take larger spools and why they went almost to Low Head Lighthouse before turning around. Currents would then move the cable East.
    I think they will leave the data cable on the old Basslink which will give them an excuse to leave it on the seabed.

  50. Second Opinion

    May 5, 2016 at 3:19 am

    ILE DE RE is on the move; just around Corio Bay off Geelong.
    http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/shipid:171704/zoom:10
    Looks to be eager to set sail. Press “past track” and zoom in.

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