Peter Tucker

There is a narrative in Australian political commentary that the polls must narrow before the election day. This song has been sung by journalists and opinion writers ever since Kevin Rudd took over the Labor leadership nearly a year ago: “When would the honeymoon end?” mused The Australian’s Paul Kelly to Barrie Cassidy on the ABC’s Insiders program back in March. Writers like Glenn Milne and Andrew Bolt have been wondering ever since. Wind the clock on six months to late September and the Insiders crew is still at it: Malcolm Farr, Annabel Crabb and Gerard Henderson all agreeing with Cassidy that Rudd “could not defy gravity for ever”. But he seems to be. Is it a certainty that he comes back to the field?

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