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Tasmanian Liberals polling slide continues

The latest EMRS Tasmanian voting intentions poll is mostly bad news for the Liberal Party. Their vote continues to slide. The only bight spot for them is that Will Hodgman is ranked as the preferred Premier by 50% while Bryan Green languishes at 22%.

The poll, of 1000 adult Tasmanians, was undertaken between 17th and 20th of November 2014.

EMRS states:

After excluding the undecided voters, support for both major parties has decreased since August 2014; the Liberal Party maintains the highest level of support but is down 4 points to 42% whilst the Labor
Party currently has the support of 31% of decided voters (down 2 points from August 2014).

The 42% level of support recorded for the Liberal Government is the equal lowest level of support they have received in EMRS quarterly polling since November 2010. Unlike the two major parties, support for the Greens has in
creased – up 3 points since the last poll (19%, compared to 16% in August 2014).

EMRS State Voting Intentions Poll

• Kevin Bonham: EMRS: Liberals Fall To Four-Year Low

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20 Comments

20 Comments

  1. TGC

    November 29, 2014 at 11:53 pm

    Or, expressed in another way #17 “if you are going to be Green- you may be better off dead”

  2. Richard browne

    November 29, 2014 at 8:49 pm

    Be Green as politically or be Green as in loving nature or the environment..
    Greens as in politically are no different to Liberal, labor or all the other dross…They need to make it look like they have opposition to keep the public on their merry go round..But they are all bed buddies..alot closer than you think..same puppets different masks..

  3. Andrei Nikulinsky

    November 29, 2014 at 7:06 pm

    #17 No argument from me there.

  4. Peter Bright

    November 29, 2014 at 5:59 pm

    Andrei #16, this sorely provoked planet is rebelling against mankind’s reckless destruction of the environment upon which we all depend, and the choice upon us is increasingly stark — [i]be Green – or be dead![/i]

  5. Andrei Nikulinsky

    November 29, 2014 at 2:19 pm

    #15 But Victoria doesn’t have a lab-green government.

    People around Australia are over-stating the influence a few Greens in parliament have, and can have, on policy development and legislation.

    Tasmania has been the only example of an actual lab-green government, with ten labor seats and five greens.

    People continually refer to the previous federal minority government as lab-green, when it demonstrably was not… there were three independents, one green and seventy two ALP.

    The Greens make a great bugbear to maintain elector support for the major parties, but the falsity of the whole “lab-green” assertion is absurd.

  6. mike seabrook

    November 29, 2014 at 1:21 pm

    there is now a bright side – there is no gravy train now in tassie for the tassie greens

    soon mckim and his partner will resign from tassie parliament and head to vic to take up jobs in advising the vic green senators as to how vic can manage their own lab-green government.

    wish the vics luck

  7. Robin Charles Halton

    November 29, 2014 at 1:51 am

    The Tas State Liberals lack of lustre may be seen to get worse if tonights Victorian elections are anything to gauge by as Victorians are clearly voted for as engaging their trust with Danial Andrews as a Labor Premier.

    Unfortunately Tasmania has failed politically overall with little chance of reprieve in the near future as neither Liberal nor Labor present us with any “remotely” outstanding products of human achievement to carry us foward at any sort of reliable level that would see the State to leap foward “intelligently”so to speak!

    I am not a commander of force of supporting Federal Labor with Bill Shorten as their Leader but after long and extended periods of trauma of suffering from bouts of extreme patience with Tony Abbott and Team Australia for far too long, the welcome has now worn far too thin as the Liberals (under Abbott) are failing daily most miserably!

    Anyway, good luck to the Victorians hoping their wish list of better public transport, the urgent need for the East West link Road across the Yarra, retaining Ambo services for saving lives on their overcrowded roads and fairer and more reasonable Health care professionals (doctors and nurses) ratios for patients care within their Health system improves!

    In Tasmania, Health and Education are looming as our prime concerns yet neither Liberals nor Labor show any signs of care.

  8. Robin Charles Halton

    November 28, 2014 at 1:13 am

    #11 William, no question about it Jacqui Lambie made the right move at the right time while Clive is being investigated by the police over the misplaced millions of dollars used to run his PUP campaign and heavens knows what else.

    Jacquie is in good hands with the CoCS and it can only get better for the Senate as a whole.

    Could be trouble tomorrow as the Victorian elections roll out.

    Its on the cards that Denis Napthine could be shown the door as Danial Andrews steps in.
    Backed by former popular Premier Steve Bracks Labor could be returned, all due to poor leadership of Tony Abbott in Canberra.

    The Federal Liberals are looking their absolute worst since the election, both Abbott and Turnbull have let the country down not to mention Pyne and Hockey.

    All right we’ll wait for the results from Vic on Saturday night.

  9. TGC

    November 26, 2014 at 11:28 pm

    #11 could also give Senator Lambie some help with English expression.

  10. William Boeder

    November 26, 2014 at 12:15 pm

    Robin, During the recent crisis period between Clive Palmer rubbishing this Senator and the media Rottweiler’s that were darting in and were snapping at her credibility, I immediately engaged in a set of correspondences that may have been of help, with a letter of encouragement for her ‘to rise above the media hounds’ and the emerging attacks of Clive Palmer being directed to Senator Jacqui Lambie.

    I further advised ‘that her continuing presence as a voice in the Senate’ to offer the advice that it was ‘vital that she continue to keep herself intact and not become the victim of the chaos that had been initiated during this period of her indecision.’

    This situation also sparked another letter by me to Independent Senator Nick Xenophon to get in touch with Senator Lambie in the immediate, to come to her aid and help in her time of indecision as a result of the above situation, that Senator Lambie must retain her valuable place in the Nick Xenophon inspired new coalition of common sense.

    Fortunately she was said to be in discussion with the ‘right people to further aid her in this period of crisis that was created by her new enemies, consisting of such much pumped-up adverse activity.’

    I note we now have a mind-refreshed Senator firmly committed to the people of Tasmania, as opposed to a certain very unpopular Liberal Abetzian Senator that seems to enjoy disparaging and bagging all of Tasmania and its people.

    I would like to imagine I may have helped in her latest announced intention to continue to oppose the Liberal Party leadership that is effectively going nowhere, and continue her new role as an Independent and to stay among the group of worthy Senators that are now known as the Coalition of Common Sense.

    Her revolt against any and all Senate persuasions ‘that are constantly voiced by the likes of Abetz’ has become so very important to our futures that this new and recommended stand of hers must be retained.

    As time goes by her debating skills can only ever become ever more proficient.

    Other than that this State has little other support, yet not denying the fine work of Christine Milne in her past and Andrew Wilkie as equally a very important Federal government influence.

  11. Andrew Ricketts

    November 26, 2014 at 10:57 am

    Only when the people of Tasmania consider the future to be in their hands and then articulate those visions will we move beyond the disempowering, adversarial and restrictive modus operandii of the Liberal, Labor or Green Party.

  12. Robin Charles Halton

    November 25, 2014 at 11:23 pm

    #6 William, Giggler is totally out of the question as a leader of any kind, if he were shirt fronted by one of his kind, spat!!!!

    Labor has become so ridiculously weak we may as well tolerate the Liberals and sleep sound of a night.

    The default fallback for Tasmania is Jacquie Lambie whose boss are all of us Tasmanians so I feel to be in relatively safe hands from total destruction by the Abbott government.

  13. Shaun

    November 25, 2014 at 8:29 pm

    #2 “Im so glad I lived through the prosperity of the peak of the Hydro industrialisation period”

    A few notable things about that era:

    1. It happened because we got on and grabbed an opportunity. It wasn’t easy in any way, but Tasmanians had faith in themselves and their abilities to get it done and make it happen.

    2. It is the only period since at least the late 1800’s (and I suspect since European settlement) during which Tasmania has performed well economically compared to the other states.

    3. It was always going to end someday, and the writing was clearly on the wall by the early 1970’s that there was a limited future for manufacturing in Australia given events overseas. It was then just a case of when the inevitable would happen – the party ended in 1979 in practice.

    4. It is the only time we’ve really tried to add value to anything on a large scale. Previously it was grow it, dig it up or chop it down and sell it. And now we’ve gone back to doing much the same and are getting the same result we got last time – under performance compared to the rest of the country.

    There’s a lesson in all of that and it’s not about dams or factories. It’s about grabbing an opportunity when it’s there, realising that someone else will if we don’t and once that happens it’s gone forever.

    The single biggest problem we’ve got in Tasmania is negativity and a lack of confidence in our own abilities. Plenty of opportunities have come and gone over the past 35 years but far too few were taken advantage of.

  14. Simon Warriner

    November 25, 2014 at 8:20 pm

    Say whatever you like about Jackie Lambie, she has figured out the realities of politics faster than most liblab rodents, and made the decent choice and decided her loyalties are owed to her constituents, not the party.

    If some of the others made the same decision the dung scow our ship of state is turning into might not smell quite as repugnant.

    One can only hope for now.

  15. William Boeder

    November 25, 2014 at 6:18 pm

    I worry for our futures while agreeing with the 4 comments above, the only other option presents us with the giggler, not known for his cares or concerns toward any single other except of course himself then those usual furtive cronies and Crown Land forest destroying infidels.

    The question arises what can be done to arrest and correct this formidable presentation of today’s incompetent incumbent Liberal groupies with E Abetz as their bible-waving El Diablo Senatorial State ‘agent-provocateur’ Coach?

    I recall the Governor Attorney in the name of Sir John Robert Kerr who had the power to dismiss by dissolution the Edward Gough Whitlam led Labor government in leadership and install a caretaker government under the Liberal leadership of John Malcolm Fraser, during that controversial period that had arisen in Australia’s political past.

    What hope is there for Tasmania, (though only of State-hood status) to look to follow the same circuitous route of dissolution with a dubious credible Labor party caretaker government on offer, (simply by way of its party numbers) as the only stand-by, but that it is burdened by the serial law-court attending giggler as its head.

  16. A.K.

    November 25, 2014 at 4:15 pm

    This is just the revolving door ideological merry go round in action and happens every election, the incumbents lose support as their incompetence and lies unfold. The recently dropped opposition gains support in the peoples confusion about being conned again, so they switch back to those they just threw out and the merry go round starts again.

    Just a repeat of a repeat seen in every election. Problem is, the merry go round is getting smaller and going faster, so they are all revolving round and round in the same deluded day dream land, whilst society and the future collapses around them.

  17. mike seabrook

    November 25, 2014 at 12:22 pm

    serves them right

    should look after their loyal voters north of oatlands (bass, braddon and wilmot)

    what are they doing progressing a new taj mahal behind parliament house in hobart, and wasting other scarce funding on frolics in the south and sucking up to other cronies and carpet-baggers.

  18. Chris B

    November 25, 2014 at 9:41 am

    Chinas Government wery good on human rights, bit like sister province gaol any protesters for long time.
    Photo opportunities abound along with red face boss.

  19. Robin Charles Halton

    November 25, 2014 at 1:39 am

    While it is fair to say Will Hodgman does not exhibit any exceptional leadership skills Bryan Green as Opposition leader exhibits none.

    Perhaps it is time for Lara to return to tell us some of her routine porkies just as she did when she was the “head prefect” ha, ha!

    I spent more time complaining about her style of governance while she thrived on media photo opportunities.

    I don’t complain much about Will as there is so little of him to complain about.

    Tassie remains in an awkward rut, the Chinese president has gone, business as per usual, uncertainty and poor decision making is sure to continue to thrive.

    Where is the new economy, feeding China while we will literally starve.

    Im so glad I lived through the prosperity of the peak of the Hydro industrialisation period.

  20. Karl Stevens

    November 25, 2014 at 12:41 am

    Subconsciously, people remember that Liberal Prime Minister Robert Menzies sacrificed Australians to fight communism in Vietnam. Today the Liberal Party mindlessly desecrate the memory of those Australians by hailing communist dictator Xi JinPing as an economic savior.

    People probably realise it’s only a matter of time before the Liberal Party sign a free trade agreement with Islamic State. On the ground in Tasmania, Hodgman, Harriss and Gutwein operate the local franchise of ‘brand Liberal’.

    It’s a brand that is synonymous with short-term opportunism, intellectual myopia, shallow thinking and populist tummy-rubbing. People realise this but in lieu of any credible alternative they let them hang in there.

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