PETER TUCKER
The May EMRS poll is out. As usual, a useful sample of 1000, but also as usual a less than useful high undecided response, this time 24%. (How EMRS manage to get a quarter of respondents undecided is hard to fathom.)
The raw numbers show Labor on 33%, down one percentage point from February, the Liberals 27% (-2) and the Greens 13% (-2). Independent and undecided, combined, is 27 which is up 5 percentage points, explaining all the declines in the major parties. None of the movements in the raw numbers are statistically significant, although the trends are perhaps starting to show a couple of things.
The graph below (click on graphs for clearer image) plots all EMRS polls since they started polling back in 2000. It is clear that since David Bartlett took over the premiership about this time last year, Labor’s stocks have risen while both the Liberals and the Greens have declined.
