The latest (Tuesday) Australian Electoral Commission count of the voting in Denison puts Andrew Wilkie back in front of Labor’s Jonathan Jackson by 1091 votes on a two candidate preferred basis. The latest projected result is based on the results from 47 of the 56 polling booths. As of 9.30 this morning, with 36 of the 56 polling places counted, Jackson was 412 votes ahead of Wilkie on a two candidate preferred basis. The remaining polling booths will be recounted this afternoon.
Follow the count: HERE
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Update, Tuesday: With all 56 booths counted, the AEC has Wilkie 1375 votes ahead of Jackson on a two candidate preferred basis. (Wilkie 51.24% to Jackson’s 48.76%).
Dr Kevin Bonham, Comment 2: It is still unclear, it has always been unclear, and perhaps we will not know for sure until the final distribution has been done. Jackson is still alive despite the big deficit at the moment because there are still three different things that could cause Wilkie to fail, even though none of them look particularly likely on these figures.
Antony Green proclaims Wilkie the winner: On the ABC Election Live blog Green writes that “I now estimate Labor would need more than 57 per cent of the outstanding postals and absent votes to win Denison, and on the pre-poll votes so far reported that seems extremely unlikely. Unless Labor now can win either Hasluck or Brisbane, the results looks set to be Coalition 73 (if you include WA National Tony Crook), Labor 72, Greens 1 plus 4 Independents – Katter, Windsor, Oakeshott and Wilkie.”
Catch up on the latest political headlines from Christine Wallace at: Breakfast Politics (it’s permanently in TT links), including The Oz’s Jennifer Hewitt’s Rage Against the Machine (Men): The subsequent move to get rid of Rudd in favour of Gillard for the now familiar reason — that he couldn’t win the next election — is a strong part of the case against the “faceless men”. Bitar and Arbib and others such as Victorian parliamentary secretary Bill Shorten, senator David Feeney and WA’s Gary Gray …
Radio National Breakfast: Morris Iemma rages against the machine
Pokies: Wilkie prepares for pokies assault
Independent raises stakes in pokies battle
Earlier on TT:
The Morning After
The Verdict, live. HUNG: Likely 72-73-5 (72 Labor)
