Comment 23, HERE: An indicative preference distribution will be conducted by the AEC tomorrow, and is overwhelmingly likely to confirm that Wilkie will pass Simpkins on Green and Socialist preferences, thus ending any remaining popular uncertainty about this seat. At present Simpkins leads Wilkie by 877 primaries but that is nowhere near enough to withstand what will occur on Green and Socialist preferences. There are potentially 2086 votes left to include in the counting but it is unlikely that the number actually included will be that high. Posted by Dr Kevin Bonham on 27/08/10 at 10:07 PM Comment HERE
Ed: on poll night, Dr Bonham called the election: Likely 72-73-5 (72 Labor)
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